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Does political rhetoric cause violent acts?

In the aftermath of the terrible shooting of U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-Ariz.) and others at a constituent event in Tucson this weekend, there’s been a great deal of heated rhetoric about … well,...

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Our role in the Goodwin Liu nomination controversy

At this hour, the U.S. Senate is meeting in executive session to debate the nomination of Goodwin Liu to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. If Liu’s supporters are able to muster 60 votes in favor of...

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Goodwin Liu’s nomination successfully filibustered

As anticipated by my lengthier blog post this morning, Professor Goodwin Liu’s nomination to be a federal appellate judge has been successfully filibustered by Senate Republicans opposed to his...

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2012 election day prediction

In recent presidential elections, I’ve publicly posted my analysis and predictions ahead of the voting. While I’m no longer blogging here, in order to concentrate on my work at the Tracing Center, I...

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What the election outcome says about election forecasting

[P]olitics is a field perfectly designed to foil precise projections. … You can’t tell what’s about to happen. — David Brooks on the 2012 presidential election, New York Times, October 23 As of this...

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The United States is a purple country

Once again, Bob Vanderbei of Princeton has offered the nation a view of itself as the purple country that it is: As I mentioned four years ago, this is a much more accurate and revealing look at the...

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2016 election day prediction

This has certainly been a highly uncertain presidential election season, and more importantly, a rather depressing one. However, I’ve posted election day predictions here for each of the last several...

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Vermont weighs apology, reparations for slavery

The Vermont state legislature is currently considering a bill which would establish a task force to study a state apology for slavery and reparations or other remedies for slavery. H.478, currently...

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Senator Booker to introduce reparations study bill

Senator Cory Booker announced this afternoon that he is introducing legislation to study the possibility of reparations for slavery. The presidential candidate’s proposal is intended to be a Senate...

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Congress to weigh removing constitutional exception to slavery ban

Yesterday, Democratic members of Congress introduced joint resolutions in the House and Senate which would amend the U.S. Constitution to strengthen the 13th Amendment’s prohibition of slavery. The...

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